Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:00:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91f2…83bb
crypto · 311 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$91 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized+$13
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses167 / 141
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions3
Markets (closed)308 / 311
History coverage36d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day76.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 73¢ 94¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $14 $23 +$8 (+58%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 81¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 37¢ 6¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Liverpool FC? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$8 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$6 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$3 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$11 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$8 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$3 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -52%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$5 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$32
sports 27% +$38
other 3% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +8.8% -1.5% 64% 55% -7.8%
≤30d 112 +6.6% -3.5% 62% 53% -8.1%
≤90d 308 +2.5% -7.3% 54% 47% -9.0%
all 308 +2.5% -7.3% 54% 47% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 47% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 40% -17.7%
15% -24.2% 32% -25.7%
20% -31.7% 21% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.10 · official $56.62 (match) · 3057 history records