Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:33:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91f1…29b9
sports · 298 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$627 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$725 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$94
Realized−$725
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses186 / 110
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions2
Markets (closed)296 / 298
History coverage149d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 2 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$476
7 days−$429
14 days−$430
30 days−$520
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $94 $93 −$1 (-1%)
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$52 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $115 +$8 +7%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $233 −$118 -51%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $47 +$13 +27%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $152 −$127 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $54 +$18 +34%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $525 −$151 -29%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $199 −$26 -13%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $13 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$17 -63%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $106 +$7 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $36 −$30 -83%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 −$1 -6%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $110 +$4 +4%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $101 +$48 +47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $65 +$9 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $31 −$10 -30%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $14 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$4 +16%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 10 $15 −$2 -14%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 09 $36 −$4 -10%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Pla May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters E May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefanos Sakellaridis May 30 $1 +$1 +50%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif May 30 $2 +$2 +81%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $1 $0 +38%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova May 30 $1 +$1 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayo May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan May 30 $1 $0 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $1 $0 +32%
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Jay Dylan Friend May 29 $1 +$1 +90%
Kosice: Andrej Martin vs Martin Krumich May 29 $1 $0 +31%
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries May 29 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Sout May 29 $2 +$1 +64%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $7 +$2 +29%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 29 $1 +$1 +60%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 G May 29 $1 $0 +15%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $1 −$1 -55%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $1 −$1 -57%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$307
other 30% −$384
sports 22% −$29
world 0% −$2
weather 0% −$4
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $118 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $123 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $115 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 28¢ $114 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $233 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $37 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $23 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 60¢ $23 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $24 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 10¢ $25 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $50 19h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $72 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $54 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 17¢ $55 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $80 38h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 21¢ $80 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $98 38h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $96 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 50¢ $194 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $215 38h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 19¢ $93 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -12.8% -21.1% 46% 27% -26.6%
≤30d 149 -6.3% -15.3% 60% 54% -26.7%
≤90d 285 -2.0% -11.3% 63% 56% -24.8%
all 296 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 55% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 55% -23.0%
10% -20.2% 43% -30.3%
15% -27.9% 30% -37.1%
20% -35.0% 18% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.73 · official $93.73 (match) · 780 history records