Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:17:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91e1…5aec
crypto · 137 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,319 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,319 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,319
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses49 / 88
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage741d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Punjab Kings 46¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 29 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 29 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 29 $2 +$4 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 29 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 29 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 29 $13 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 29 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 29 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 29 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 29 $7 +$5 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $11 +$10 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 29 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 29 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 29 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 29 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 29 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 29 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 29 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 29 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 29 $2 +$4 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 28 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 28 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 28 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 04 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 04 $7 +$2 +31%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W May 04 $17 −$13 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 04 $4 −$3 -95%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $38 −$37 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 14 $28 −$18 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% −$779
crypto 26% −$503
politics 3% +$123
sports 3% −$120
finance 2% +$4
world 1% −$32
economics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $10 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-34.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 42 -45.5% -50.7% 24% 21% -42.6%
≤90d 74 -49.8% -54.6% 27% 15% -39.2%
all 137 -27.9% -34.7% 36% 22% -29.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.7% 22% -29.2%
10% -41.0% 19% -36.0%
15% -46.7% 15% -42.2%
20% -51.9% 11% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 689 history records