Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91d9…13f4
sports · 340 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$891 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$843 · open +$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$197
Realized+$843
Unrealized+$47
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses191 / 148
Est. fees paid−$370
Open positions1
Markets (closed)339 / 340
History coverage63d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$1,432
30 days−$1,432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 62¢ 81¢ $150 $197 +$47 (+31%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 28¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Daniel Evans 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Filippo Romano 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 59¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Jun 14 $151 +$66 +43%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $20 +$8 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $46 −$45 -99%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $40 −$13 -31%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $153 −$150 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $81 −$81 -100%
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Walton Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Parma Perm vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 06 $19 −$19 -100%
Aix en Provence: Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 06 $63 −$63 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jun 06 $127 −$127 -100%
Istanbul: Lina Gjorcheska vs Xinran Sun Jun 06 $30 −$30 -100%
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong Jun 06 $203 −$203 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $202 −$202 -100%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5) Jun 06 $162 −$162 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu Jun 06 $31 −$31 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $81 −$81 -100%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Jun 06 $69 −$69 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Jun 06 $182 −$182 -100%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5) Jun 06 $203 −$203 -100%
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) Jun 06 $202 −$202 -100%
Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5) Jun 06 $253 −$253 -100%
Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Gray Jun 06 $112 −$112 -100%
San Martin de Corrientes vs. Boca Juniors Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manas Jun 06 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $367 +$634 +173%
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic Jun 04 $7 +$4 +50%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 04 $203 +$205 +101%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 03 $22 +$35 +158%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $202 +$131 +64%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular Season May 05 $1 $0 +0%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria S May 05 $30 +$16 +52%
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Martincova May 05 $5 +$1 +29%
Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero May 05 $101 +$23 +23%
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5) May 04 $126 +$36 +29%
Uralmash vs. BC Zenit May 04 $95 +$32 +34%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emili May 04 $200 +$147 +74%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola B May 04 $127 +$109 +86%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane P May 04 $125 +$18 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 04 $201 +$54 +27%
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere May 04 $102 +$154 +152%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5) May 04 $202 +$82 +40%
Ibaraki Robots vs. Osaka Evessa May 04 $30 +$18 +59%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) May 04 $244 +$348 +142%
Penarol vs. Ferro Carril Oeste May 04 $140 +$77 +56%
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar May 04 $101 +$40 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$949
other 1% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $152 58m
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $217 2h
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) BUY Team Liquid 69¢ $151 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 55¢ $5 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 59¢ $40 7h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 72¢ $20 7h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 37¢ $20 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 17¢ $20 8h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 72¢ $20 8h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 76¢ $20 8h
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 28¢ $153 7d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $1 7d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 97¢ $1 7d
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen BUY CCG Esports 35¢ $184 9d
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen BUY CCG Esports 37¢ $183 9d
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $203 10d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $202 10d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL B8 100¢ $333 10d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY B8 60¢ $202 10d
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL BC Zenit 100¢ $57 10d
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 38¢ $9 10d
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5) BUY Gaimin Gladiators 44¢ $203 10d
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 38¢ $13 10d
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) BUY Sabalenka 71¢ $202 10d
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic BUY Lola Radivojevic 66¢ $7 10d
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular Season SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $1 39d
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular Season BUY Misa Esports 99¢ $1 39d
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Martincova SELL Linda Fruhvirtova 100¢ $6 39d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria S SELL Noemi Basiletti 100¢ $46 39d
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Martincova BUY Linda Fruhvirtova 77¢ $5 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -41.7% -47.2% 33% 33% -16.9%
≤30d 34 -55.9% -60.1% 24% 21% -46.4%
≤90d 339 +2.3% -7.5% 56% 54% -6.7%
all 339 +2.3% -7.5% 56% 54% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 54% -6.7%
10% -16.3% 49% -15.6%
15% -24.4% 42% -23.8%
20% -31.8% 34% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $197.15 · official $197.18 (match) · 863 history records