Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91d7…0dfc
crypto · 982 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$35,273 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,009 · open +$17,342
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31,631
Realized+$18,009
Unrealized+$17,342
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses292 / 168
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions376
Markets (closed)460 / 982
History coverage5d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day562.2
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 376 History 460 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,587
7 days+$18,009
14 days+$18,009
30 days+$18,009
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 0¢ 73¢ $0 $4,339 +$4,339 (+0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 55¢ 56¢ $2,464 $2,486 +$22 (+1%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 0¢ 56¢ $0 $1,114 +$1,114 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $810 $805 −$5 (-1%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 60¢ 49¢ $885 $723 −$162 (-18%)
Rippling IPO before 2027? No 0¢ 82¢ $0 $675 +$675 (+0%)
Databricks IPO before 2027? No 0¢ 80¢ $0 $660 +$660 (+0%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 0¢ 26¢ $0 $588 +$588 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? No 19¢ 18¢ $535 $521 −$14 (-3%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 75¢ 72¢ $517 $491 −$26 (-5%)
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No 0¢ 95¢ $0 $491 +$491 (+0%)
Anduril IPO before 2027? No 0¢ 87¢ $0 $460 +$460 (+0%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No 0¢ 88¢ $0 $449 +$449 (+0%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $431 $434 +$4 (+1%)
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 78¢ 94¢ $342 $414 +$72 (+21%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Yes 23¢ 68¢ $140 $408 +$269 (+193%)
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 0¢ 78¢ $0 $403 +$403 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 50¢ 20¢ $988 $402 −$586 (-59%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) South Africa 74¢ 72¢ $399 $385 −$13 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $153 $333 +$180 (+117%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 0¢ 6¢ $0 $293 +$293 (+0%)
Portugal leading at halftime? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $293 $285 −$8 (-3%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Morocco 42¢ 46¢ $255 $283 +$27 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Down 36¢ 36¢ $283 $281 −$2 (-1%)
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 0¢ 92¢ $0 $274 +$274 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$52 +18661%
BNB Up or Down on May 21? Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Rockets? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will T.J. Watt win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump announce Stephen Miran to replace Lisa Cook? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Dante Fowler Jr. lead the NFL in sacks this season? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Spread: El Salvador (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Six Kings Slam? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 S Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025 Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025? Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% +$14,086
other 19% +$17,171
sports 9% +$3,157
tech 3% +$1,448
economics 0% +$147
finance 0% +$11
world 0% +$9
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $1,115 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $78 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $44 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $149 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $34 1h
Will Joan García win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Joan García win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 93¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
France leading at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $24 2h
France leading at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $24 2h
France leading at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $24 2h
France leading at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $32 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 97¢ $47 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 2h
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 4¢ $17 2h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? BUY No 40¢ $17 2h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? BUY No 38¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY No 84¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+81.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 460 +100.6% +81.5% 63% 47% +14.7%
≤30d 460 +100.6% +81.5% 63% 47% +14.7%
≤90d 460 +100.6% +81.5% 63% 47% +14.7%
all 460 +100.6% +81.5% 63% 47% +14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover562.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +81.5% 47% +14.7%
10% ← realistic here +64.1% 36% +3.8%
15% +48.3% 32% -6.3%
20% +33.7% 26% -15.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31,630.55 · official $31,613.38 (match) · 3500 history records