Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T18:23:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x91bd…8009 crypto 282 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (155 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$101 (+2%) realized +$101 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%137W / 145L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day154.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (155 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 282 -0.6% -10.1% 49% 48% -9.6%
≤30d 282 -0.6% -10.1% 49% 48% -9.6%
≤90d 282 -0.6% -10.1% 49% 48% -9.6%
all 282 -0.6% -10.1% 49% 48% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover154.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 48% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 46% -18.2%
15% -26.5% 46% -26.1%
20% -33.7% 43% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$13 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses137 / 145
Open positions0
Markets (closed)282 / 282
History coverage5d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day154.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 282 Trades
no open positions (98 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$18 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$15 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $11 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$14 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$18 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$14 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $22 +$18 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 20 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$14 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $23 +$27 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$26 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$25 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$21 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$22 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$29 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$18 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 19 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $29 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 964 history records