Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91bc…4505
other · 253 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$69 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses15 / 237
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)252 / 253
History coverage124d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$12
14 days−$20
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $237 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $244 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $568 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $415 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $107 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $51 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $134 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $89 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $108 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $145 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $325 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $137 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 11 $185 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $610 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $252 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $244 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $398 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $313 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $388 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $171 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $243 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $227 +$1 +0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $332 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $112 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $95 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $393 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $429 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $54 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $600 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $132 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $199 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $282 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $227 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $368 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $645 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $352 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $56 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $272 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $113 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 03 $270 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $57 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 02 $678 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $249 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $806 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $117 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $122 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $314 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$35
sports 24% −$21
politics 9% −$8
culture 6% −$6
economics 5% −$4
crypto 5% −$2
world 5% −$3
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $51 1h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $51 8h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $51 9h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 11h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $51 14h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 16h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $51 17h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $51 19h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $51 20h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 21h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $51 23h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $51 24h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $42 32h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $42 33h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $51 41h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $51 43h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $51 44h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $52 46h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $52 47h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $52 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $52 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $52 2d
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $52 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $52 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $52 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 198 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 252 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.60 · official $50.60 (match) · 1293 history records