Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91b8…5726
crypto · 104 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$160
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses29 / 72
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)101 / 104
History coverage152d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$152
14 days−$152
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -25%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 13 $7 −$4 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$11 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$4 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$3 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$3 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$19 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$26 +338%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$16 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $48 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20? Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$70
other 12% −$42
sports 3% −$19
politics 2% −$20
economics 2% −$6
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Panathinaikos 13¢ $3 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 29¢ $7 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 29h
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? BUY Yes 5¢ $7 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $9 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 30h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND W BUY 9¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -6.1% -15.1% 31% 30% -23.4%
≤30d 91 -6.1% -15.1% 31% 30% -23.4%
≤90d 91 -6.1% -15.1% 31% 30% -23.4%
all 101 -8.3% -17.0% 29% 28% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 28% -22.6%
10% -25.0% 24% -30.0%
15% -32.2% 22% -36.8%
20% -38.9% 19% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.12 · official $1.16 (match) · 360 history records