Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91b7…ad02
sports · 342 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$1,351 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,425 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$187
Realized−$1,425
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses162 / 169
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions11
Markets (closed)331 / 342
History coverage157d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 11 History 331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$692
7 days+$397
14 days+$547
30 days+$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Under 35¢ 40¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+16%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 52¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 47¢ 56¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 42¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Under 17¢ 20¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? No 43¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Bernie Sanders say "Paycheck to Paycheck" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Hornets Hornets 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Rockets 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No 80¢ 0¢ $404 $0 −$404 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals San Diego Padres 52¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
76ers vs. Pacers Pacers 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $31 +$14 +46%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $103 +$685 +667%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $130 +$5 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 −$8 -28%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +118%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $61 +$32 +52%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$9 +29%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $30 −$16 -52%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$15 -50%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $51 +$28 +55%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $152 −$101 -66%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 09 $30 −$30 -98%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $30 +$18 +60%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $101 +$55 +55%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $101 +$65 +65%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $30 −$30 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $30 −$30 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $30 −$30 -99%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $30 +$35 +114%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $102 +$201 +197%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $31 +$39 +129%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $50 −$50 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $102 +$86 +85%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $51 +$29 +56%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $51 −$50 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 30 $81 −$80 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 30 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $51 +$34 +67%
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Straww May 30 $51 +$40 +79%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 29 $51 −$50 -99%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 28 $51 −$50 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 28 $51 −$50 -99%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 May 28 $51 +$31 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $51 +$44 +87%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 28 $101 +$68 +67%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 26 $153 −$150 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 May 26 $51 −$50 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$285
world 26% −$1,447
other 13% +$23
politics 7% +$321
culture 2% −$42
crypto 1% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 47¢ $20 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 5¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 17¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $20 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 35¢ $31 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 54¢ $44 14h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 41¢ $22 17h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 41¢ $22 18h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 70¢ $35 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $130 21h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $31 28h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 28h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $30 28h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $30 28h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 38h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $30 38h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 36¢ $14 44h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 28¢ $15 44h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 53¢ $29 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $30 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 2d
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $30 2d
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $30 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 51¢ $30 2d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $30 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $30 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +12.2% +1.5% 50% 45% +17.9%
≤30d 74 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 49% -2.6%
≤90d 201 -6.9% -15.8% 59% 43% -7.1%
all 331 -13.3% -21.6% 49% 38% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 38% -18.2%
10% -29.1% 33% -26.0%
15% -35.9% 28% -33.2%
20% -42.2% 22% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $187.35 · official $187.35 (match) · 652 history records