Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91b6…caca
crypto · 801 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$39 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$18
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses450 / 377
Open positions1
Markets (closed)827 / 801
History coverage45d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$43
14 days−$155
30 days−$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 52¢ 14¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-72%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -2619%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1224%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -204%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1220%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -3444%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -747%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -207%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$3 -205%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -168%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -204%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -3611%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -204%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1211%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -204%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -3721%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$52
weather 16% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 342 +1.8% -7.9% 57% 57% -6.8%
≤30d 751 -0.3% -9.8% 54% 54% -8.6%
≤90d 827 -2.2% -11.5% 54% 54% -7.8%
all 827 -2.2% -11.5% 54% 54% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 54% -7.8%
10% -20.0% 52% -16.6%
15% -27.7% 49% -24.7%
20% -34.8% 44% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.84 · official $1.25 · 3500 history records