trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +21.6% | +10.1% | 53% | 53% | +16.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +21.6% | +10.1% | 53% | 53% | +16.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +21.6% | +10.1% | 53% | 53% | +16.5% |
| all | 16 | +14.0% | +3.2% | 50% | 50% | +1.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.2% | 50% | +1.8% |
| 10% | -6.7% | 50% | -7.9% |
| 15% | -15.7% | 50% | -16.8% |
| 20% | -24.0% | 38% | -25.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $75 | $74 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 56¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $57 | +$7 (+13%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 43¢ | 40¢ | $50 | $46 | −$4 (-8%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 66¢ | $35 | $39 | +$4 (+13%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | Yes | 13¢ | 8¢ | $25 | $14 | −$11 (-42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$9 | +47% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $81 | +$73 | +91% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$29 | +58% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$40 | +388% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $61 | +$24 | +40% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $81 | −$13 | -17% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $25 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | Jan 22 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |