Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91ab…dc71
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$288 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses195 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)305 / 305
History coverage35d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day93.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 305 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$88
14 days−$602
30 days−$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $39 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$24 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$15 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $49 +$14 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$14 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $42 +$11 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $27 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $14 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +5.0% -5.0% 72% 61% -13.2%
≤30d 266 +9.1% -1.3% 64% 56% -12.1%
≤90d 305 +6.6% -3.5% 64% 56% -12.6%
all 305 +6.6% -3.5% 64% 56% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 56% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 44% -20.9%
15% -21.2% 30% -28.6%
20% -28.9% 18% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records