Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x91a8…0c80
crypto · 581 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses353 / 227
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)580 / 581
History coverage26d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$36
14 days+$13
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$17 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$10 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$10 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$8 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$9 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$5 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$6 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$8 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +38%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $25 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$29
sports 17% −$21
other 5% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $6 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 24m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $12 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $7 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -4.8% -13.8% 64% 43% -7.0%
≤30d 580 -4.9% -13.9% 61% 38% -10.1%
≤90d 580 -4.9% -13.9% 61% 38% -10.1%
all 580 -4.9% -13.9% 61% 38% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 38% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 21% -18.7%
15% -29.7% 11% -26.6%
20% -36.6% 7% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.17 · official $0.17 (match) · 1836 history records