Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T02:01:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
91 0x9195…d767 crypto 1597 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate55%804W / 663L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day110.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$43
14 days+$24
30 days+$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$268
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -18.5% -26.3% 42% 42% -26.8%
≤30d 1467 +7.4% -2.8% 55% 52% -3.2%
≤90d 1467 +7.4% -2.8% 55% 52% -3.2%
all 1467 +7.4% -2.8% 55% 52% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 52% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 51% -12.5%
15% -20.6% 48% -21.0%
20% -28.4% 43% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +9% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.19 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses804 / 663
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1467 / 1597
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day110.9
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1467 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records