Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:34:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9194…94aa
crypto · 93 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$482 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$488 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$220
Realized+$488
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses25 / 59
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)84 / 93
History coverage198d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 9 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days+$140
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $49 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $37 $40 +$2 (+6%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $41 $39 −$2 (-6%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 19? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 5? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 10? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28? No 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 5? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 15? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 29? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 18? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? No 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 6? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 +$5 +484%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $80 +$11 +13%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $27 +$218 +818%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $19 −$18 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $27 −$25 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 04 $27 −$25 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9? Jan 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 5? Jan 05 $40 −$33 -83%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 29? Dec 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22? Dec 22 $77 +$15 +20%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 21? Dec 21 $12 −$5 -47%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 19? Dec 19 $12 +$38 +317%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 19? Dec 19 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18? Dec 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 18? Dec 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 19? Dec 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 20? Dec 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17? Dec 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 17? Dec 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17? Dec 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19? Dec 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 16? Dec 16 $11 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16? Dec 16 $21 −$2 -9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 18? Dec 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 16? Dec 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 15? Dec 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 16? Dec 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 13? Dec 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 13? Dec 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 12? Dec 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 10? Dec 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? Dec 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9? Dec 09 $26 +$174 +669%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 9? Dec 09 $98 +$610 +619%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11? Dec 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10? Dec 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12? Dec 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9? Dec 08 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8? Dec 08 $183 +$15 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 10? Dec 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 6? Dec 06 $46 −$43 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 5? Dec 05 $3 −$1 -25%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 6? Dec 05 $62 −$62 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$549
other 16% −$9
economics 2% −$51
sports 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 28m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 28m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $8 48m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 25¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $30 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 14h
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 14h
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 43¢ $20 14h
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 14h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 16h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 17h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $11 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $91 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $80 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 24h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 44h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $7 44h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $21 7d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $29 7d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $30 7d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $21 7d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $21 7d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $22 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? SELL No 40¢ $244 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +14.0% +3.2% 33% 33% -17.0%
≤30d 13 +49.6% +35.3% 31% 31% +48.9%
≤90d 13 +49.6% +35.3% 31% 31% +48.9%
all 84 +38.5% +25.3% 30% 27% +13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.3% 27% +13.0%
10% +13.3% 24% +2.2%
15% +2.4% 23% -7.7%
20% -7.6% 21% -16.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $220.41 · official $220.41 (match) · 334 history records