Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9184…9f9f
crypto · 1495 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$355 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$355 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$355
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses681 / 986
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1667 / 1495
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day653.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1667 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$726
7 days−$355
14 days−$355
30 days−$355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 20¢ 100¢ $2 $12 +$10 (+396%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+76%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 48¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 43¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 57¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+245%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 10¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+900%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +245%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$519
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1667 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 36% -15.7%
≤30d 1667 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 36% -15.7%
≤90d 1667 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 36% -15.7%
all 1667 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 36% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover653.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 36% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 32% -23.7%
15% -33.2% 27% -31.1%
20% -39.8% 21% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.20 · official $55.04 · 3500 history records