Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x917c…d9eb
weather · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$77 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open −$74
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$46
Unrealized−$74
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses25 / 107
Open positions111
Markets (closed)132 / 243
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day135.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 111 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? Yes 11¢ 100¢ $1 $10 +$9 (+808%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-33%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 15? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+70%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14? No 2¢ 1¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-58%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 15? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? No 25¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-57%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-46%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14? No 4¢ 2¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-57%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 14? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 15? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-51%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? No 0¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-68%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 15? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 15? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-65%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 14? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 15? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +84%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$7 +478%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$10 +488%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +85%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$11 +402%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +84%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$4 +270%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 14 $3 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $2 +$20 +963%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15? Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -49%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 0m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 1m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 2m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 3m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 4m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $1 4m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 5m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 7m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 8m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 11m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 12m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL Yes 14¢ $1 13m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 14m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL Yes 13¢ $1 16m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 17m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? SELL No 21¢ $1 17m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju SELL Yes 14¢ $1 20m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 22m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 15? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 23m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 24m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 25m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 26m
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14? BUY No 2¢ $2 28m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 28m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL No 24¢ $1 29m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-42.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 -36.8% -42.8% 19% 17% -24.6%
≤30d 132 -36.8% -42.8% 19% 17% -24.6%
≤90d 132 -36.8% -42.8% 19% 17% -24.6%
all 132 -36.8% -42.8% 19% 17% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.8% 17% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -48.3% 15% -31.8%
15% -53.3% 13% -38.4%
20% -57.8% 11% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.75 · official $87.69 · 400 history records