Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9178…ea18
politics · 31 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses12 / 19
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage521d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 10 $18 $0 +0%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the Apr 24 $115 +$2 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? Apr 24 $35 +$4 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? Apr 23 $106 −$6 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? Apr 22 $118 −$1 -1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Apr 02 $300 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 02 $63 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 02 $273 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 01 $301 $0 +0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 01 $106 −$6 -6%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 31 $278 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 31 $3 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee Mar 31 $20 +$3 +13%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 30 $4 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Mar 30 $55 $0 +0%
Presbyterian College vs. UNC Asheville Mar 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Akron vs. Ball State Feb 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday? Feb 25 $6 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on February 26? Feb 25 $5 $0 +0%
Bowling Green vs. Eastern Michigan Feb 25 $5 $0 +0%
Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Mercyhurst Feb 25 $9 −$9 -100%
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025? Feb 25 $16 −$10 -64%
Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? Feb 18 $14 +$1 +6%
Georgescu banned from Romania election? Feb 18 $24 −$4 -16%
Spurs vs. Hornets Feb 17 $2 +$7 +456%
Will Juventus vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw? Feb 17 $11 +$4 +37%
Will Donald Trump issue 34-36 executive orders in his first week? Feb 03 $11 +$3 +32%
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%? Jan 25 $10 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% +$3
world 18% $0
other 17% −$13
sports 7% −$9
economics 4% +$3
crypto 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 4h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $41 21h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $41 23h
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 32¢ $14 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 32¢ $4 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 31¢ $9 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $8 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $10 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $18 3d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the SELL Yes 45¢ $117 49d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the BUY Yes 44¢ $115 49d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $24 50d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $15 50d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $17 50d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 50d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $13 50d
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? SELL No 74¢ $19 51d
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? SELL No 74¢ $81 51d
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? BUY No 79¢ $106 51d
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? SELL No 87¢ $117 52d
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? BUY No 88¢ $118 52d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom SELL No 92¢ $300 71d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom BUY No 92¢ $300 72d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $63 72d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $63 72d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $85 72d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $188 72d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $273 72d
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $301 72d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +1.2% -8.4% 50% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 4 +1.2% -8.4% 50% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 18 +1.0% -8.6% 33% 11% -9.7%
all 31 +8.7% -1.6% 39% 16% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.6% 16% -10.3%
10% -11.0% 10% -18.9%
15% -19.6% 6% -26.7%
20% -27.5% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 90 history records