trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $15,900 | $16,650 | +$750 (+5%) |
| Ravens vs. Chiefs | Ravens | 57¢ | 0¢ | $3,967 | $0 | −$3,967 (-100%) |
| Santos vs. Yoo | Yoo | 43¢ | 0¢ | $17,200 | $0 | −$17,200 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 27¢ | 0¢ | $327 | $0 | −$327 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 49¢ | 0¢ | $538 | $0 | −$538 (-100%) |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Commanders | 49¢ | 0¢ | $44,500 | $0 | −$44,500 (-100%) |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $28,700 | $0 | −$28,700 (-100%) |
| Texans vs. Seahawks | Texans | 13¢ | 0¢ | $5,200 | $0 | −$5,200 (-100%) |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $32,000 | $0 | −$32,000 (-100%) |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | Bengals | 30¢ | 0¢ | $6,000 | $0 | −$6,000 (-100%) |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $36,400 | $0 | −$36,400 (-100%) |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $50,125 | $0 | −$50,125 (-100%) |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $55,599 | $0 | −$55,599 (-100%) |
| Utah State vs. Fresno State | Fresno State | 54¢ | 0¢ | $27,000 | $0 | −$27,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) | Pelicans | 49¢ | 0¢ | $2,220 | $0 | −$2,220 (-100%) |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $225 | $0 | −$225 (-100%) |
| Spread: FSV Mainz 05 (-0.5) | FSV Mainz 05 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $3,707 | $0 | −$3,707 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Kings | 59¢ | 0¢ | $26,129 | $0 | −$26,129 (-100%) |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Bears | 35¢ | 0¢ | $17,489 | $0 | −$17,489 (-100%) |
| Spread: Clippers (-7.5) | Clippers | 52¢ | 0¢ | $20,904 | $0 | −$20,904 (-100%) |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $53,000 | $0 | −$53,000 (-100%) |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $4,579 | $0 | −$4,579 (-100%) |
| Penn State vs. Clemson | Clemson | 52¢ | 0¢ | $83,200 | $0 | −$83,200 (-100%) |
| Colts vs. Steelers | Colts | 60¢ | 0¢ | $59,500 | $0 | −$59,500 (-100%) |
| Spread: Tulane (-6.5) | East Carolina | 50¢ | 0¢ | $35,000 | $0 | −$35,000 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Chiefs | Jun 14 | $3,967 | −$3,967 | -100% |
| Santos vs. Yoo | Jun 14 | $17,200 | −$17,200 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jun 14 | $327 | −$327 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Jun 14 | $538 | −$538 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Jun 14 | $44,500 | −$44,500 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21? | Jun 14 | $28,700 | −$28,700 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Seahawks | Jun 14 | $5,200 | −$5,200 | -100% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? | Jun 14 | $32,000 | −$32,000 | -100% |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | Jun 14 | $6,000 | −$6,000 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? | Jun 14 | $36,400 | −$36,400 | -100% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03? | Jun 14 | $55,599 | −$55,599 | -100% |
| Utah State vs. Fresno State | Jun 14 | $27,000 | −$27,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) | Jun 14 | $2,220 | −$2,220 | -100% |
| Spread: FSV Mainz 05 (-0.5) | Jun 14 | $3,707 | −$3,707 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jun 14 | $26,129 | −$26,129 | -100% |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Jun 14 | $17,489 | −$17,489 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-7.5) | Jun 14 | $20,904 | −$20,904 | -100% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14? | Jun 14 | $53,000 | −$53,000 | -100% |
| Penn State vs. Clemson | Jun 14 | $83,200 | −$83,200 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Steelers | Jun 14 | $59,500 | −$59,500 | -100% |
| Spread: Tulane (-6.5) | Jun 14 | $35,000 | −$35,000 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17? | Jun 14 | $11,395 | −$11,395 | -100% |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17? | Jun 14 | $2,150 | −$2,150 | -100% |
| Duke vs. Virginia | Jun 14 | $4,488 | −$4,488 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Jun 14 | $2,846 | −$2,846 | -100% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech | Jun 14 | $10,007 | −$10,007 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? | Jun 14 | $17,400 | −$17,400 | -100% |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-0.5) | Jun 14 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: PHI (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $24,065 | −$24,065 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Jun 14 | $9,811 | −$9,811 | -100% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15? | Jun 14 | $3,391 | −$3,391 | -100% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Florida International | Jun 14 | $278 | −$278 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-9.5) | Jun 14 | $5,486 | −$5,486 | -100% |
| Spread: Virginia (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $62,339 | −$62,339 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Jun 14 | $34,435 | −$34,435 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? | Jun 14 | $90,076 | −$90,076 | -100% |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) | Jun 14 | $6,058 | −$6,058 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Jun 14 | $30,500 | −$30,500 | -100% |
| Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5) | Jun 14 | $45,443 | −$45,443 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders | Jun 14 | $1,130 | −$1,130 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $14,847 | −$14,847 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Jun 14 | $23,000 | −$23,000 | -100% |
| Spread: KC (-6.5) | Jun 14 | $26,353 | −$26,353 | -100% |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-04? | Jun 14 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20? | Jun 14 | $29,500 | −$29,500 | -100% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02? | Jun 14 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $14,700 | −$14,700 | -100% |
| Browns vs. Jets | Jun 14 | $15,900 | −$15,900 | -100% |
| Tulane vs. Memphis | Jun 14 | $14,864 | −$14,864 | -100% |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) | Jun 14 | $16,969 | −$16,969 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 203 | -99.1% | -99.2% | 0% | 0% | -99.3% |
| ≤30d | 205 | -99.1% | -99.2% | 0% | 0% | -99.3% |
| ≤90d | 265 | -75.6% | -78.0% | 11% | 11% | -84.0% |
| all | 265 | -75.6% | -78.0% | 11% | 11% | -84.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -78.0% | 11% | -84.0% |
| 10% | -80.1% | 11% | -85.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -82.0% | 11% | -86.9% |
| 20% | -83.8% | 11% | -88.2% |