Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9142…3a18
other · 1739 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$35 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$15
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1730 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1736 / 1739
History coverage91d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 3 History 1736 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$7
14 days+$10
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Garrett Wilson attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Awer Mabil: 1+ shots No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tete Yengi: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 1+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Yunus Akgün: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Anne Hathaway attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 2+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Pete Davidson attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Merih Demiral: 2+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Merih Demiral: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Cristian Volpato: 2+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Wilson Isidor: 3+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ben Gannon-Doak: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Miles McBride lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Scott McTominay: 3+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ché Adams: 5+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
John McGinn: 1+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ryan Christie: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Scott McTominay: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 2+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lawrence Shankland: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
CSD Colo-Colo to score first vs. CD Cobresal? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Rayan: 1+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Yusuf Abdurisag: 1+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Remo Freuler: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Carnicella vs. Ekstrand: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ayoub Mohamed: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Fassnacht: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Taborda vs Rivera Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: IFK Mariehamn 3 - 3 IF Gnistan? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: HEROIC Academy (-6.5) vs RUSTEC (+6.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$5
sports 46% +$19
world 1% +$1
politics 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
finance 1% $0
crypto 0% +$2
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 40m
Tete Yengi: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will Garrett Wilson attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Yunus Akgün: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Awer Mabil: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 2h
Merih Demiral: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Merih Demiral: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Anne Hathaway attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Cristian Volpato: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Pete Davidson attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Ben Gannon-Doak: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Wilson Isidor: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Scott McTominay: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Ché Adams: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will Miles McBride lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made? BUY No 99¢ $5 5h
John McGinn: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Ryan Christie: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Scott McTominay: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Lawrence Shankland: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 9h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 9h
Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Rayan: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
CSD Colo-Colo to score first vs. CD Cobresal? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 852 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1725 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 1736 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.97 · official $14.97 (match) · 3500 history records