Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:58:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x9136…49c2 crypto 1323 markets active 7h ago coverage 71d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$13 (-0%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1301W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day18.6pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$15
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 56 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 1323 -0.6% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 1323 -0.6% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -10.0%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1301 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1323 / 1323
History coverage71d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1323 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 29 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET May 29 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2628 history records