Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T03:19:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
91 0x9135…8362 sports 1090 markets active 1h ago coverage 94d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 94d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$774 (-0%) realized −$774 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%1033W / 57L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$241per market
Trades / day30.4pace
Fees−$222est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$393
7 days+$153
14 days+$434
30 days−$599
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% −$839
other 16% +$397
world 0% +$65
crypto 0% +$3
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 7% -8.9%
≤30d 84 -1.6% -11.0% 88% 11% -10.6%
≤90d 1021 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 5% -9.8%
all 1090 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 5% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$159 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$774
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1033 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1090 / 1090
History coverage94d ⚠
Avg bet$241
Trades / day30.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1090 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 19 $1,478 +$22 +2%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Jun 19 $5 $0 -8%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5 Jun 19 $561 −$24 -4%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5 Jun 19 $602 −$25 -4%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $106 −$4 -4%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Jun 19 $1,048 +$44 +4%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Jun 19 $580 +$56 +10%
Spread: South Africa (-2.5) Jun 18 $803 +$11 +1%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 18 $803 +$24 +3%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Jun 18 $593 +$14 +2%
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $381 +$4 +1%
Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $393 +$7 +2%
Spread: Panama (-2.5) Jun 18 $396 +$4 +1%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $577 +$29 +5%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 17 $918 +$47 +5%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $901 +$17 +2%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $824 +$78 +10%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $736 +$88 +12%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $720 +$16 +2%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $579 +$140 +24%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $367 +$7 +2%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 16 $193 +$12 +6%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $490 +$65 +13%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $514 −$513 -100%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $693 +$7 +1%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $277 +$23 +8%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $927 +$52 +6%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $302 −$300 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $330 +$3 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-22.5) Jun 14 $275 +$5 +2%
Spread: Spurs (-21.5) Jun 14 $44 +$1 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $559 +$41 +7%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $602 +$17 +3%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $470 +$29 +6%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 13 $654 +$8 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $611 +$7 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $465 +$40 +9%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $602 +$10 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $502 +$48 +10%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $493 +$7 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $980 +$32 +3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $928 +$34 +4%
Spread: Knicks (-19.5) Jun 11 $871 +$74 +8%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Jun 09 $64 +$14 +23%
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Jun 09 $209 +$42 +20%
Spread: Knicks (-15.5) Jun 09 $451 +$71 +16%
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Jun 09 $275 +$47 +17%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,205 −$1,200 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5 Jun 04 $488 −$226 -46%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 04 $471 −$247 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Korea Republic 98¢ $1,478 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 91¢ $5 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 94¢ $536 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 89¢ $578 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 90¢ $102 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $602 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $561 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 94¢ $85 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $21 1h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $250 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 90¢ $271 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $9 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $538 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $30 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 95¢ $110 3h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 91¢ $55 4h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 91¢ $55 4h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 91¢ $55 4h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 92¢ $44 4h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 93¢ $102 4h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $112 4h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $803 13h
Spread: South Africa (-2.5) BUY Czechia 99¢ $803 13h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 98¢ $593 25h
Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $393 27h
Spread: Panama (-2.5) BUY Ghana 99¢ $396 27h
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $381 27h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 95¢ $577 30h
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) BUY England 95¢ $918 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records