Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T01:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
91 0x9135…19b6 other 35 markets active 0h ago coverage 93d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$12 (-0%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 35L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$518per market
Trades / day1.2pace
Kalshi-fit48%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 53% −$8
politics 24% −$8
crypto 6% −$1
culture 5% −$2
world 5% −$1
tech 5% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 12 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 32 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 35 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$1,018) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

93d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage93d
Avg bet$518
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 35 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 26 $1,121 −$2 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Jun 26 $50 $0 -0%
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Jun 26 $1,055 $0 +0%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 26 $1,093 −$1 -0%
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 25 $58 $0 -0%
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $35 $0 -0%
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 24 $1,018 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 23 $1,064 −$2 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 22 $68 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 22 $1,089 −$2 -0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 22 $1,027 $0 +0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 22 $1,079 −$1 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $1,079 −$3 -0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close May 19 $36 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? May 19 $29 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $51 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 16 $976 −$1 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 16 $46 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 16 $996 −$1 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $887 −$1 -0%
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 15 $99 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 15 $965 −$2 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $906 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? May 14 $922 −$1 -0%
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? May 14 $912 $0 -0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parlia May 14 $879 −$1 -0%
Will Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26? Apr 03 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? Apr 03 $58 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 03 $29 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Mar 30 $115 $0 -0%
Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 30 $62 $0 -0%
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 30 $24 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? Mar 25 $195 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Mar 25 $50 $0 -0%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? Mar 25 $29 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $1,119 4m
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 14m
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $10 24m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $1,084 31m
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $24 37m
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $16 58m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $37 1h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $855 1h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $237 1h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,093 1h
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 100¢ $58 22h
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $35 23h
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $24 23h
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $20 40h
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 40h
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $14 41h
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $141 41h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $760 2d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $302 2d
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $35 2d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,064 2d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $68 3d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,087 3d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $23 3d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,032 3d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $20 3d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $25 3d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $29 3d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $784 3d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $27 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 123 history records