Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:42:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x912a…1944
crypto · 566 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$119 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$126 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$126
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses371 / 194
Open positions1
Markets (closed)565 / 566
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day98.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 565 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$299
7 days+$182
14 days+$126
30 days+$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 57¢ 40¢ $25 $17 −$8 (-31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$17 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 509 +4.1% -5.8% 66% 59% -6.4%
≤30d 565 +3.4% -6.5% 66% 56% -7.7%
≤90d 565 +3.4% -6.5% 66% 56% -7.7%
all 565 +3.4% -6.5% 66% 56% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 56% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 50% -16.6%
15% -23.6% 43% -24.6%
20% -31.1% 31% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.10 · official $25.92 · 1154 history records