Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

91
0x9122…cc24
sports · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage68d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Ki Apr 05 $5 −$2 -51%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 05 $2 −$1 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$3
other 13% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-73.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 2 -70.1% -73.0% 0% 0% -75.9%
all 2 -70.1% -73.0% 0% 0% -75.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -73.0% 0% -75.9%
10% -75.6% 0% -78.2%
15% -77.9% 0% -80.3%
20% -80.1% 0% -82.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 8 history records