trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -37.2% | -43.2% | 14% | 14% | -30.4% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -42.6% | -48.1% | 13% | 13% | -33.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -42.6% | -48.1% | 13% | 13% | -33.7% |
| all | 23 | -42.6% | -48.1% | 13% | 13% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.1% | 13% | -33.7% |
| 10% | -53.1% | 9% | -40.1% |
| 15% | -57.6% | 9% | -45.9% |
| 20% | -61.8% | 4% | -51.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 20¢ | $40 | $37 | −$3 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $25 | −$15 | -59% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$13 | +48% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $152 | +$21 | +14% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$6 | -30% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$4 | -27% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |