trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -88.4% | -89.5% | 0% | 0% | -76.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -88.4% | -89.5% | 0% | 0% | -76.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -84.2% | -85.7% | 8% | 0% | -76.5% |
| all | 14 | -72.3% | -74.9% | 14% | 0% | -68.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -74.9% | 0% | -68.6% |
| 10% | -77.3% | 0% | -71.6% |
| 15% | -79.5% | 0% | -74.3% |
| 20% | -81.5% | 0% | -76.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana? | Jun 27 | $27 | −$27 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 27 | $127 | −$86 | -68% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $30 | −$13 | -43% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $43 | −$18 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | May 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | May 17 | $15 | −$8 | -51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | May 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | May 17 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 11 | $28 | −$26 | -96% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 11 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 13 | $20 | −$20 | -96% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Mar 25 | $14 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Mar 24 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |