trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 100% | 0% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 71% | 14% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 62% | 12% | -6.7% |
| all | 26 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 42% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 0% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $37 | $37 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $33 | +$5 | +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | Apr 22 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 15 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | -0% |