Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90f5…16f2
crypto · 600 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$53 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses365 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)600 / 600
History coverage73d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 600 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$8
14 days−$4
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 80¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 45¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 63¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 48¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 48¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +0.4% -9.1% 81% 32% -10.4%
≤30d 575 -5.5% -14.5% 62% 43% -11.2%
≤90d 600 -6.6% -15.5% 61% 43% -11.5%
all 600 -6.6% -15.5% 61% 43% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 43% -11.5%
10% -23.6% 33% -20.0%
15% -31.0% 24% -27.7%
20% -37.7% 21% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.48 · official $0.00 · 1037 history records