Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:12:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90dd…8e82
crypto · 1273 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$232 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$232 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses640 / 527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1167 / 1273
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$70
7 days+$140
14 days+$159
30 days+$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 +17.7% +6.5% 61% 61% +7.1%
≤30d 1167 +6.4% -3.8% 55% 55% +0.3%
≤90d 1167 +6.4% -3.8% 55% 55% +0.3%
all 1167 +6.4% -3.8% 55% 55% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 55% +0.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 55% -9.3%
15% -21.4% 55% -18.0%
20% -29.1% 55% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1954 history records