Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T06:58:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90d8…904c world 7 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (564 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$316per market
Trades / day564.3pace
Kalshi-fit57%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 56% −$3
other 44% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.8%
≤30d 7 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.8%
≤90d 7 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.8%
all 7 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover564.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 0% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 0% -20.2%
15% -29.6% 0% -27.9%
20% -36.5% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
48.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$8 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$316
Trades / day564.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? Jun 25 $646 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 25 $10 −$3 -25%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 25 $201 $0 -0%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Jun 25 $124 $0 -0%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Jun 25 $241 $0 -0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 25 $150 −$3 -2%
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $838 −$49 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 0m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 0m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 0m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 0m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 1m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 2m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 3m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 4m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 4m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 4m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 4m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 4m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 7m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 7m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 7m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 8m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 8m
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 680 history records