Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:15:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d5…9a7d
crypto · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$38 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses170 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)249 / 249
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +2.0% -7.7% 68% 60% -7.8%
≤30d 249 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 58% -9.0%
≤90d 249 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 58% -9.0%
all 249 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 58% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 58% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 45% -17.7%
15% -26.2% 32% -25.6%
20% -33.4% 17% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 691 history records