Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90d4…f911
crypto · 1409 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$978 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$978 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$978
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses656 / 925
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1581 / 1409
Avg bet$7
Trades / day358.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1581 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,103
7 days−$1,075
14 days−$978
30 days−$978
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -328%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$5 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1202 -27.1% -34.1% 39% 28% -20.9%
≤30d 1581 -21.7% -29.2% 41% 31% -17.1%
≤90d 1581 -21.7% -29.2% 41% 31% -17.1%
all 1581 -21.7% -29.2% 41% 31% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover358.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.2% 31% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -36.0% 25% -25.1%
15% -42.2% 19% -32.3%
20% -47.8% 14% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records