trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +26.1% | +14.1% | 60% | 40% | +17.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +21.4% | +9.8% | 67% | 56% | +11.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 59% | 45% | -1.9% |
| all | 22 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 59% | 45% | -1.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 45% | -1.9% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 41% | -11.2% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 18% | -19.8% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 18% | -27.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | Yes | 18¢ | 3¢ | $50 | $8 | −$42 (-83%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $72 | −$20 | -28% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | Jun 17 | $115 | +$134 | +116% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $89 | +$51 | +58% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $111 | −$27 | -24% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | May 29 | $89 | +$21 | +23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 24 | $78 | +$11 | +15% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | May 22 | $120 | −$4 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 20 | $107 | +$29 | +27% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 06 | $80 | +$27 | +33% |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 25 | $54 | +$33 | +62% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Apr 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 23 | $259 | +$74 | +29% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 17 | $51 | +$17 | +33% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 17 | $72 | −$15 | -21% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Apr 17 | $227 | −$155 | -68% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 12 | $100 | +$51 | +51% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 02 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Mar 27 | $100 | −$62 | -62% |