Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T03:21:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90c2…d915 crypto 118 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate31%36W / 82L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day62.9pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$365
7 days−$361
14 days−$363
30 days−$363
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$366
other 3% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -26.7% -33.7% 31% 30% -50.2%
≤30d 118 -27.3% -34.3% 31% 30% -50.4%
≤90d 118 -27.3% -34.3% 31% 30% -50.4%
all 118 -27.3% -34.3% 31% 30% -50.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 30% -50.4%
10% ← realistic here -40.5% 27% -55.2%
15% -46.3% 23% -59.5%
20% -51.6% 21% -63.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -99% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -99% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -32% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses36 / 82
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 118
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day62.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 118 Trades
no open positions (81 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -103%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$16 +310%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$2 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$28 -167%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$6 -115%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$7 +174%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$8 +153%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$6 -115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$12 -73%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$6 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$11 +510%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$12 -104%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$5 -138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$10 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$10 -161%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.31 · official $0.00 (match) · 752 history records