Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90c2…8c24
finance · 176 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$32,246 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32,577 · open −$1,791
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,347
Realized+$32,577
Unrealized−$1,791
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses105 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)170 / 176
History coverage67d
Avg bet$2,153
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$216
7 days+$3,731
14 days+$3,078
30 days+$18,448
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Up 59¢ 39¢ $5,321 $3,507 −$1,815 (-34%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of June 8 2026? No 95¢ 97¢ $594 $607 +$13 (+2%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? No 92¢ 96¢ $222 $233 +$11 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $4,974 +$512 +10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,867 +$1,733 +60%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $843 +$438 +52%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $444 +$121 +27%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $906 −$821 -91%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,203 −$2,147 -98%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $2,723 −$428 -16%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 10 $242 −$81 -34%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $2,482 +$1,318 +53%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 8? Jun 09 $1,504 −$410 -27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 09 $1,232 −$281 -23%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $894 +$311 +35%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $4,850 +$212 +4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5? Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $5,803 +$3,139 +54%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $88 +$13 +15%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $3,383 +$363 +11%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $8 −$6 -77%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $29 +$115 +402%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $1,294 +$317 +24%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $639 +$53 +8%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,228 −$795 -36%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,611 +$129 +5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 05 $3,288 −$154 -5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $607 −$167 -28%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $947 +$446 +47%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $2,151 +$807 +38%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $1,372 +$276 +20%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1? Jun 01 $215 +$190 +88%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,378 −$1,065 -77%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29? May 29 $3,546 −$786 -22%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $1,370 −$1,370 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May? May 29 $3,926 +$365 +9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May? May 29 $6,392 +$611 +10%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $2,258 +$83 +4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $335 +$15 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 29? May 29 $1,395 +$97 +7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28? May 28 $613 +$156 +25%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $2,178 +$1,827 +84%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $299 +$5 +2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026? May 28 $110 +$30 +27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? May 28 $133 −$131 -99%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? May 28 $7,102 −$7,102 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $3,793 +$3,364 +89%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26? May 26 $2,095 +$1,308 +62%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26? May 26 $314 +$49 +16%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? May 26 $14,860 +$4,861 +33%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026? May 26 $1,536 +$189 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 92% +$38,525
other 8% −$7,662
tech 0% +$1
sports 0% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $116 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $116 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $96 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $16 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $128 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $425 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 63¢ $5 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 64¢ $127 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 64¢ $13 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 65¢ $3 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 65¢ $6 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 65¢ $120 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 65¢ $130 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 65¢ $198 34m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 64¢ $844 35m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 98¢ $199 40m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 95¢ $62 42m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 95¢ $33 42m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 95¢ $95 42m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 49m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 49m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $6 49m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 49m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 50m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 50m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 59¢ $108 50m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 59¢ $3 50m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 59¢ $6 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +2.5% -7.3% 56% 40% -1.5%
≤30d 99 +3.7% -6.2% 65% 35% -0.9%
≤90d 170 +5.8% -4.3% 62% 36% -1.4%
all 170 +5.8% -4.3% 62% 36% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 36% -1.4%
10% -13.4% 26% -10.8%
15% ← realistic here -21.8% 19% -19.4%
20% -29.5% 15% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,346.53 · official $5,871.63 · 3500 history records