Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90bb…1cb9
crypto · 2057 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,515 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,510 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$3,510
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses1005 / 926
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1931 / 2057
History coverage67d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$399
14 days+$338
30 days+$314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 32¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$19 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$32 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$28 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$16 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$13 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,482
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $25 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $17 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $24 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 341 +21.6% +10.0% 83% 75% +4.0%
≤30d 575 +14.2% +3.4% 74% 68% -4.3%
≤90d 1931 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 49% -18.0%
all 1931 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 49% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 49% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 42% -25.8%
15% -27.8% 34% -33.0%
20% -34.9% 27% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.26 · official $7.26 (match) · 3500 history records