Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90b0…c9b6
crypto · 343 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$523 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$523 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$523
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses100 / 243
Open positions0
Markets (closed)343 / 343
History coverage110d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$575
7 days−$537
14 days−$384
30 days−$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$18 +425%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$37
other 33% −$486
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 333 -39.3% -45.1% 28% 28% -45.8%
≤30d 342 -20.7% -28.3% 29% 29% -35.3%
≤90d 343 -20.9% -28.4% 29% 29% -40.9%
all 343 -20.9% -28.4% 29% 29% -40.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.4% 29% -40.9%
10% -35.3% 27% -46.5%
15% -41.5% 24% -51.7%
20% -47.3% 20% -56.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1511 history records