Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90a7…d92a crypto 323 markets active 7d ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$128 (-9%) realized −$128 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate52%168W / 155L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day37.4pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$91
14 days−$129
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$160
other 1% −$1
sports 1% −$1
politics 1% −$1
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -20.8% -28.3% 33% 25% -44.9%
≤30d 323 -9.5% -18.2% 52% 37% -20.0%
≤90d 323 -9.5% -18.2% 52% 37% -20.0%
all 323 -9.5% -18.2% 52% 37% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 37% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 30% -27.7%
15% -33.1% 22% -34.7%
20% -39.7% 18% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses168 / 155
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)323 / 323
History coverage19d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 323 Trades
no open positions (79 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$7 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $48 −$29 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$2 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$18 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $33 −$11 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$22 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +121%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $19 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 896 history records