trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +9.7% | -0.8% | 60% | 60% | +13.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 47% | 47% | +4.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 47% | 47% | +4.6% |
| all | 30 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 50% | 50% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.6% | 50% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 50% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 50% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 43% | -29.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $506 | +$314 | +62% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $25 | +$13 | +52% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $9 | +$12 | +134% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $19 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$11 | +57% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $23 | −$23 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 06 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $29 | −$29 | -98% |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Mar 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Feb 20 | $25 | +$45 | +180% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 10 | $64 | +$30 | +47% |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) | Feb 05 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 19 | $29 | +$17 | +59% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 17 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 17 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Jan 15 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Patriots vs. Ravens | Jan 12 | $25 | +$32 | +127% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jan 12 | $32 | +$26 | +82% |
| Kraken vs. Canucks | Jan 02 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Falcons | Dec 30 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Dec 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |