Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:44:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x90a3…11ae crypto 1303 markets active 16h ago coverage 101d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$3,495 (-1%) realized −$3,495 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate96%1253W / 50L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$360per market
Trades / day17.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$3
14 days−$17
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +1.1% -8.5% 98% 2% -7.7%
≤30d 252 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 2% -11.8%
≤90d 1302 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 3% -10.3%
all 1303 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 3% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 3% -10.3%
10% -18.8% 1% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$242 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

101d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$3,495
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1253 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1303 / 1303
History coverage101d
Avg bet$360
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1303 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 3158 history records