Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:57:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x90a1…9c77
crypto · 1336 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1140 / 196
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1336 / 1336
History coverage22d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day96.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$31
14 days−$57
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 72¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 89¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 88¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 93¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 73¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 88¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 84¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 75¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 65¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 93¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 86¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 79¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 91¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 74¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 71¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 85¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 94¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -5.3% -14.3% 83% 39% -13.9%
≤30d 1336 -2.3% -11.6% 85% 35% -10.3%
≤90d 1336 -2.3% -11.6% 85% 35% -10.3%
all 1336 -2.3% -11.6% 85% 35% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 35% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 12% -18.9%
15% -27.8% 6% -26.7%
20% -34.9% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records