Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9091…24ef
crypto · 832 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,950 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,950 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$10,950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses632 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1007 / 832
History coverage13d
Avg bet$188
Trades / day214.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1007 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,750
7 days−$9,996
14 days−$10,950
30 days−$10,950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 63¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 70¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 66¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 59¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 58¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 54¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 49¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 46¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 66¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 39¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 78¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 69¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 70¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 41¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 73¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 15¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 65¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$137 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,969
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $398 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $255 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $143 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $255 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $256 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $255 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $133 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $91 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $206 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $254 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $85 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $77 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $255 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $22 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $80 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $255 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $77 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $255 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $361 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $106 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $255 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $116 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $237 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $254 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $101 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $255 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $170 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $87 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 569 -27.5% -34.4% 54% 32% -17.7%
≤30d 1007 -14.7% -22.8% 63% 37% -15.6%
≤90d 1007 -14.7% -22.8% 63% 37% -15.6%
all 1007 -14.7% -22.8% 63% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 37% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 23% -23.7%
15% -37.0% 14% -31.1%
20% -43.1% 5% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records