Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x908e…9718 crypto 930 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (412 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,372 (-19%) realized −$1,372 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate39%368W / 577L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day412.4pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,865
7 days−$1,165
14 days−$683
30 days−$683
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$2,302
other 7% +$177
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (412 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 817 -10.6% -19.1% 35% 34% -23.7%
≤30d 945 -0.5% -10.0% 39% 38% -15.4%
≤90d 945 -0.5% -10.0% 39% 38% -15.4%
all 945 -0.5% -10.0% 39% 38% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover412.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 38% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 37% -23.5%
15% -26.5% 36% -30.8%
20% -33.7% 35% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +76% → late -77% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$7 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,372
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses368 / 577
Open positions0
Markets (closed)945 / 930
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day412.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 945 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$3 -2770%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -104%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -196%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$4 -514%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $17 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $17 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records