trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 23 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 13% | 4% | -39.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.7% | 4% | -39.7% |
| 10% | -48.2% | 4% | -45.5% |
| 15% | -53.2% | 4% | -50.8% |
| 20% | -57.8% | 4% | -55.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $913 | $912 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | No | 40¢ | 36¢ | $41 | $36 | −$5 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels vs. Brewers | Sep 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024? | Jan 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $136 | +$98 | +72% |
| Notre Dame vs. Penn State | Jan 10 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |