Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:08:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x908a…ad16
sports · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59,551 -119%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59,588 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$779
Realized−$59,588
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses48 / 521
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$1,193
Open positions13
Markets (closed)569 / 94
History coverage2d
Avg bet$531
Trades / day1681.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59,611
7 days−$59,588
14 days−$59,588
30 days−$59,588
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $165 $157 −$8 (-5%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 57¢ 60¢ $91 $95 +$4 (+5%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 59¢ 60¢ $92 $93 +$1 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 53¢ 54¢ $85 $86 +$1 (+1%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 100¢ $56 $80 +$24 (+42%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 52¢ 48¢ $78 $72 −$6 (-8%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 78¢ 72¢ $51 $47 −$4 (-8%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 29¢ 52¢ $23 $41 +$18 (+78%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 41¢ 40¢ $25 $25 −$1 (-2%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-4%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 75¢ 76¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 38¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-01-30? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Australian Open Women's: Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima Sierra 66¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12? No 88¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Will Parma win on 2025-11-08? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-01-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima Jun 12 $570 −$570 -100%
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12? Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Will Parma win on 2025-11-08? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-07? Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-25? Jun 12 $330 −$330 -100%
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-18? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$271 -104%
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $710 −$710 -100%
OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-31? Jun 12 $134 −$128 -96%
Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $732 −$732 -100%
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-01? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-22? Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-04? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-30? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Toulouse FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $366 −$366 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 12 $11 +$10 +88%
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03? Jun 12 $251 −$251 -100%
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $157 −$157 -100%
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-11? Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw? Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13? Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,060
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 62¢ $50 0m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 78¢ $87 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 58¢ $47 0m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 77¢ $8 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 79¢ $64 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 79¢ $12 2m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $63 2m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 76¢ $9 3m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 76¢ $2 3m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 76¢ $49 3m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 24¢ $38 3m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 75¢ $60 3m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Daria Snigur 22¢ $8 3m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Daria Snigur 26¢ $10 4m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Daria Snigur 26¢ $3 4m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 33¢ $27 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 22¢ $18 5m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 63¢ $50 5m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 42¢ $66 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 29¢ $24 6m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 70¢ $57 6m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 38¢ $1 6m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 43¢ $35 8m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 24¢ $20 8m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 41¢ $33 8m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $43 8m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $43 8m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 21¢ $17 10m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 19¢ $16 11m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 49¢ $12 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-80.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.3%
≤30d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.3%
≤90d 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.3%
all 569 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 4% -60.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1681.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -80.0% 4% -60.3%
10% ← realistic here -81.9% 2% -64.1%
15% -83.7% 2% -67.5%
20% -85.3% 2% -70.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $778.62 · official $787.52 · 3500 history records