Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9086…4d46
sports · 1717 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22,350 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,500 · open +$150
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$550
Realized−$22,500
Unrealized+$150
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses812 / 903
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$2,899
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1715 / 1717
History coverage142d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 1715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,056
7 days−$3,600
14 days−$2,972
30 days−$35,803
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 49¢ 68¢ $200 $280 +$80 (+40%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 68¢ $200 $270 +$70 (+35%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 66¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 63¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 52¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Diego Dedura-Palomero 38¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Genaro Alberto Olivieri 41¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 52¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Miguel Tobon 39¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 78¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Iryna Shymanovich 72¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov Harry Wendelken 40¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 48¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Luca Nardi 38¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 27¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 34¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 48¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin Tiago Pereira 55¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami Jacopo Vasami 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Liam Broady 21¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $12 +$8 +62%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $203 +$17 +8%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $357 −$353 -99%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $203 +$189 +93%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $203 −$200 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $406 −$200 -49%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $203 +$168 +83%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $406 +$292 +72%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $405 −$203 -50%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $179 −$177 -99%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $203 +$168 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
ITF Wichita: Kenta Miyoshi vs Christian Langmo Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $384 +$237 +62%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $202 −$200 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $508 +$83 +16%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $203 −$6 -3%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $203 +$251 +123%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $204 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $407 +$19 +5%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $228 +$11 +5%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $222 −$219 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $308 −$304 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $203 −$89 -44%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $101 +$60 +60%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $203 −$200 -99%
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Jun 10 $204 +$73 +36%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $304 −$300 -98%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $203 −$200 -98%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $205 +$417 +204%
ITF Martos: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Carles Hernandez Jun 09 $203 +$118 +58%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $508 −$300 -59%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $204 −$200 -98%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $204 +$146 +72%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $202 +$97 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $307 −$161 -52%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $305 −$300 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 09 $203 +$152 +75%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $204 −$82 -40%
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 09 $203 +$214 +105%
Lyon: Calvin Hemery vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 09 $306 +$14 +5%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $202 −$200 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$17,840
other 12% −$4,555
world 0% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $203 21m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 49¢ $203 48m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 40¢ $204 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $204 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 61¢ $12 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 61¢ $219 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 55¢ $203 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 63¢ $357 4h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 42¢ $203 6h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 41¢ $204 8h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 55¢ $203 11h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $204 21h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 64¢ $202 22h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Federico Coria 42¢ $217 22h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 38¢ $204 23h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 63¢ $202 26h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 51¢ $203 28h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli BUY Jesper de Jong 54¢ $203 30h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Benjamin Bonzi 40¢ $204 32h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Greet Minnen 59¢ $202 34h
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino BUY Nao Nishino 72¢ $179 37h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova BUY Ekaterina Maklakova 35¢ $204 37h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 54¢ $203 39h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $203 45h
ITF Wichita: Kenta Miyoshi vs Christian Langmo BUY Christian Langmo 46¢ $203 45h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 100¢ $621 45h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 61¢ $384 46h
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino BUY Maximo Zeitune 68¢ $202 47h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Marco Trungelliti 78¢ $389 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 60¢ $304 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -18.4% -26.2% 44% 39% -26.4%
≤30d 471 -35.7% -41.8% 33% 31% -41.2%
≤90d 1115 -15.4% -23.5% 42% 41% -21.9%
all 1715 -6.6% -15.5% 47% 46% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 46% -15.4%
10% -23.6% 44% -23.5%
15% -31.0% 41% -30.9%
20% -37.8% 35% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $550.20 · official $550.20 (match) · 3500 history records