Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x906f…2877
sports · 491 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$212 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open +$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,037
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$43
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses244 / 229
Est. fees paid−$1,273
Open positions18
Markets (closed)473 / 491
History coverage64d
Avg bet$185
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 18 History 473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,259
7 days−$768
14 days−$2,390
30 days−$576
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $188 $190 +$2 (+1%)
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $184 $185 +$1 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 66¢ $167 $173 +$7 (+4%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 69¢ $163 $172 +$9 (+5%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 54¢ 50¢ $182 $170 −$12 (-6%)
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 94¢ $120 $164 +$44 (+37%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 46¢ $135 $130 −$4 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 36¢ $95 $125 +$30 (+31%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 38¢ 36¢ $116 $112 −$5 (-4%)
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $103 $106 +$3 (+3%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 36¢ $113 $103 −$10 (-9%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 30¢ $113 $102 −$11 (-10%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 33¢ $92 $92 +$0 (+0%)
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $84 $84 +$0 (+0%)
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 20¢ 20¢ $65 $64 −$2 (-2%)
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 13¢ 10¢ $43 $32 −$11 (-26%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 62¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $57 +$94 +165%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $100 +$220 +219%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $200 +$168 +84%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $202 +$224 +111%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $148 +$176 +119%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $185 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $201 +$97 +48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $196 +$112 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $66 −$66 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $180 +$102 +57%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $124 +$137 +111%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $193 +$146 +76%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $2 +$3 +172%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $110 +$111 +101%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $141 +$183 +129%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $37 +$13 +36%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $176 −$176 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $188 −$188 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 09 $289 −$289 -100%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $140 −$140 -100%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $305 −$54 -18%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $366 −$366 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $324 −$324 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $400 −$400 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $117 −$117 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $319 −$319 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $371 +$313 +84%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $255 −$255 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $103 −$103 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $404 +$193 +48%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St Jun 06 $402 +$204 +51%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $145 −$145 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $246 +$96 +39%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $159 +$241 +152%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 05 $388 +$209 +54%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $368 −$368 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $324 −$324 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $271 −$271 -100%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playof Jun 04 $403 +$160 +40%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $324 −$324 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $403 +$117 +29%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe S Jun 04 $70 +$95 +136%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5) Jun 03 $351 −$351 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $401 −$401 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $246 +$204 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$474
other 5% +$298
crypto 0% −$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 54¢ $62 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 54¢ $97 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 54¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $97 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $57 16h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 30¢ $30 17h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 31¢ $8 17h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 31¢ $2 17h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 31¢ $61 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $47 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $13 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $32 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $108 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 30¢ $25 19h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 35¢ $29 21h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $7 25h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $7 25h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $12 26h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 49¢ $0 26h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 49¢ $19 26h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 49¢ $18 26h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 49¢ $4 26h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $4 27h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $3 27h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $11 27h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $24 27h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $23 27h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $3 27h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $8 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -4.0% -13.2% 46% 46% -19.8%
≤30d 173 +5.1% -4.9% 53% 53% -10.9%
≤90d 473 +1.7% -8.0% 52% 51% -9.8%
all 473 +1.7% -8.0% 52% 51% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 51% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 51% -18.4%
15% -24.8% 49% -26.3%
20% -32.2% 40% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,037.35 · official $2,037.38 (match) · 3500 history records