Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x904e…0bec
sports · 99 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$978 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$2,421
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,125
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$2,421
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses24 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$1,861
Open positions44
Markets (closed)59 / 99
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,558
Trades / day2923.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 44 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 91¢ 84¢ $1,702 $1,573 −$130 (-8%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 79¢ 100¢ $553 $696 +$144 (+26%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 91¢ 100¢ $605 $664 +$60 (+10%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 47¢ 100¢ $151 $322 +$171 (+113%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Bebop 64¢ 100¢ $121 $190 +$69 (+57%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner KOLESIE 62¢ 100¢ $113 $184 +$70 (+62%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs The Last Resort 83¢ 100¢ $152 $183 +$32 (+21%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Team Heretics Academy 77¢ 100¢ $133 $173 +$40 (+30%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Solary 85¢ 100¢ $147 $172 +$26 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner Misa Esports 81¢ 100¢ $118 $145 +$27 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 18¢ 16¢ $150 $135 −$15 (-10%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Team Heretics Academy 52¢ 100¢ $57 $110 +$53 (+94%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 41¢ 31¢ $145 $109 −$36 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage KOLESIE 90¢ 96¢ $88 $94 +$6 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 11¢ 10¢ $105 $92 −$13 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 19¢ 17¢ $101 $91 −$11 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs MASQ 25¢ 23¢ $50 $47 −$4 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Washed 73¢ 44¢ $77 $46 −$31 (-40%)
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner BALU 39¢ 42¢ $34 $37 +$3 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs aimclub 57¢ 60¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 36¢ 40¢ $13 $14 +$2 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 10¢ 0¢ $138 $7 −$132 (-95%)
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner aimclub 90¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 27¢ 0¢ $185 $3 −$181 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - TESFED League Play-In Sangal ALTERS 5¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$2 (+900%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 −$12 -70%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $321 −$28 -9%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $734 −$33 -4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,151 +$456 +9%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $92 −$62 -67%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,181 −$122 -10%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $140 +$49 +35%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,023 −$282 -14%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $128 −$41 -32%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,194 −$347 -11%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $166 −$22 -14%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 3 Winner Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $327 −$10 -3%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $160 +$17 +11%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5,651 +$175 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,778 −$422 -11%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $277 −$2 -1%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $228 +$49 +22%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $265 +$13 +5%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,519 −$121 -2%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $418 −$44 -10%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $694 −$47 -7%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $680 +$70 +10%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $530 +$41 +8%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $150 −$25 -17%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $1,590 +$45 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,041 −$230 -11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8,704 +$135 +2%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $197 −$84 -43%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $505 +$235 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,036 +$192 +6%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $119 −$116 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,515 +$56 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,753 −$89 -2%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $2,445 +$108 +4%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $161 +$6 +4%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $74 +$10 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $6,989 −$269 -4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,733 −$237 -9%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $227 +$42 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,366 −$506 -37%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $199 −$20 -10%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $621 −$18 -3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $309 +$23 +8%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$7 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4,222 +$162 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,352
other 0% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY aimclub 57¢ $20 0m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 87¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 88¢ $16 0m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 88¢ $14 0m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 91¢ $900 0m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 91¢ $766 0m
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASQ 16¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASQ 18¢ $13 1m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 24¢ $0 1m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 14¢ $10 1m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 73¢ $15 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $27 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $10 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $36 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $26 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $9 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $15 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $36 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $21 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $4 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $304 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 42¢ $165 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $206 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $10 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $4 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 40¢ $203 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 40¢ $124 2m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 74¢ $59 2m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 74¢ $4 3m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 34¢ $3 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 14% -9.5%
≤30d 59 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 14% -9.5%
≤90d 59 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 14% -9.5%
all 59 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 14% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2923.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 14% -9.5%
10% -28.7% 7% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -35.6% 3% -26.1%
20% -41.9% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,124.59 · official $5,164.43 (match) · 3500 history records