Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9044…e21c
crypto · 109 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$116 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses71 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)109 / 109
History coverage14d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$44
14 days−$193
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $14 −$8 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $9 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $36 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 03 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 03 $36 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 03 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $36 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $22 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 03 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 03 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 03 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 03 $17 +$5 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$173
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -11.5% -19.9% 64% 32% -19.1%
≤30d 109 -9.2% -17.9% 65% 47% -16.7%
≤90d 109 -9.2% -17.9% 65% 47% -16.7%
all 109 -9.2% -17.9% 65% 47% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 47% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 21% -24.7%
15% -32.9% 7% -32.0%
20% -39.5% 6% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 445 history records